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Serge Blanc's avatar

A typical availability bias (cognitive distortion). This is roughly how ordinary people judge crime—based on major news stories. In reality, the massive drone attacks on Kyiv didn't bring any significant success to Russia, while ballistic missiles destroyed numerous factories and warehouses.

William B. Irvine's avatar

Hi, Serge. What about Ukrainian drone attacks in the "buffer zone" between it and Russia? And what about recent Ukrainian drone attacks deep into Russia?

Serge Blanc's avatar

Let's recall the events of 9/11 – the media impact was comparable to an atomic bomb, but Al-Qaeda was destroyed by systematic military operations. Now let's return to Ukraine and look at the statistics. When Ukraine used HIMARS and ATACMS, Russia suffered the heaviest losses. Then, under the influence of self-deception from easy victories with thousands of FPV drones, they decided to go with 1 million. So what? Where are the corpses of Russian soldiers in that buffer zone? Yes, drones performed admirably as a terrorist weapon, but as soon as the element of surprise is removed, the statistics favor conventional weapons. This is precisely why Ukraine is now trying to develop its own ballistic missiles.

B Barry's avatar

Do you think that as drones gets more advanced they will make infantry men obsolete or will infantry and other frontline forces start to change and in what direction do you think they will head towards

Honest Dialogue: Off-Record.'s avatar

I think moving forward everything will be smartly applied. No men at any frontlines. As we progress mankind will look to make things easier for themselves while avoiding human casualties. With time it will be considered unethical or even barbaric to send men to war like we do today...